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TK's Black Book - Melbourne Storm

talkingleague

TK's simple guide to the Melbourne Storm fantasy prospects for 2025.


Minor premiers and grand finalist from 2024 should be considered favorites given they have added gun front rower Stefano Utoikamanu to their stocks to bolster a slight weakness in their front row while rivals Penrith have lost some significant talent. Given two elite players in Cameron Munster and Nelson Asofa-Solomona were hardly sighted in 2024, a return to health and form for the pair will only add to their premiership credentials. The squad is deep across each position and the spine of Papenhuyzen, Munster, Hughes, Grant and back up Wishart is the number 1 in the NRL.


Prediction - Premiership favorites


Storm 2025 Player Movements

2025 Gains

Moses Leo (2027), Stefano Utoikamanu (Wests Tigers, 2027)

2025 Loses

Chris Lewis (retired), Aaron Pene (Leigh Leopards), Reimis Smith, Young Tonumaipea (retired)



The team looks pretty settled after a much better showing in 2024. Have plenty of competition in the outside backs with question marks on what they do with the talented Hopoate, will they continue with Garrick in the centres and what to do with Tommy Talau after a break out season. They have bought some good veterans who should fill he bench but expect some rotation there. The Draw and Game Day Squad

Byes - round 2, 12, 15


Game Day Squad allows a true focus on weekly match ups. Consider Lil Papi and Nick Meaney in the following match ups which no doubt will see some points.


NRL Fantasy perspective

Two early byes in round 2 and 12 does make it less enticing to go early on any of the gun Storm options. Given players like Grant and Munster will be origin bound, its best to wait on these premium options till after the Origin break. If Paps ever gets a long term injury a player like Sua is a BUY even with the draw.


Fantasy relevant players for round 1 - Stefano Utoikamanu, Jack Howarth, Cameron Munster



2025 NRL Fantasy Fortunes (scroll across to view full notes)

Player

Price

NRL Fantasy Av

GameDay Squad Av

Notes

Jahrome Hughes

$825K

60.4

62.7

Actually had a higher av of 62 vs 58 when Munster played, however he did carry him. He hasn't averaged this high since Covid ball so a lot of risk to take him from the get go off a career year. Prefer Cleary and Hynes

Harry Grant

$730K

53.8

51.3

Scored his lowest average of the last 5 full seasons he has played. No doubt a combination of attacking stats declining and leadership took a slight toll on that average. Have a round 2, 12 and 15 bye so post origin purchase.

Eli Katoa

$700K

52.2

50.1

Dominant season which added 6 points to his average. Does seem fully price and the draw is a turn off. Avoid for now.

Stefano Utoikamanu

$600K

44.9

44.7

Will he continue the trend of improving in the Belly/Storm system? Likely. Had some good patches in 2024. In games over 50 mins he averaged 50 in 55.8 mins. A lot of mouths to feed in the middle though. Watchlist

Trent Loiero

$600K

44.8

42.9

Just dooesn't have a huge upside and his mins fluctuate week to week. Avoid

Cameron Munster

$589K

44.1

47.1

At his best he is well under priced. Those injuries are significant and he will likely be in the origin arena if fit. Very tempting at this price but be prepared that old Munster may not come back. Consider

Shaun Blore

$586K

43.9

41.1

Great production early then faded. Has an inconistent fantasy relevant game if that makes sense, Best to avoid as looks fully priced.

Nick Meaney

$550K

41.2

44.5

Lost a couple of points from the previous season. Looks fully priced and much better options in his position for round 1. Avoid

Tyran Wishart

$550K

40.3

42.1

Av 54 in his 8 games at five-eighth so did us well last year. His average should sink and if an injury in the halves occurs we jump all over him again. Watchlist

Ryan Papenhuyzen

$530K

39.7

44.5

Great to see him back and playing. Without the goal kicking there is no longer the 6-8 extra points that we need from him, so not for me. Avoid

Josh King

$510K

38.2

35.6

Like Jurbo he is the team plodder who never will let you down. As a front rower just won't see the minutes to be relevant. Avoid.

Christian Welch

$456K

34.2

31.4

Back end of his career and playing a limited role. Avoid

Xavier Coates

$450K

33.7

38.7

Never had the fantasy relevant stats to be relevant. Avoid

Sua Fa'alogo

$443K

33.2

38.6

Averages 41.1 in his 7 games starting at FB. Behind Paps so no need to go there early on. 7 games of NSW Cup for 53.4 av. Watchlist and wait for an injury.

Will Warbrick

$433K

32.4

35

Similar to Coates, priced at potential. Avoid

Jack Howarth

$450K

31.8

33

37.4 average as a centre and should continue to improve in his second year of NRL particularly around his try scoring rate. Enough upside here to take a punt at this price. I think he is the pick of the Storm bunch for fantasy. BUY

Grant Anderson

$401K

30.1

31.1

Had some good moments but looks to be the back up. Would be fully priced any way. Avoid

Jonah Pezet

$392K

29.3

26

Surprised he resigned and will be coming back from a serious injury. Wishart probably has jumped him also in the pecking order. Avoid

Alec MacDonald

$391K

29.3

28.7

Bench player at best. Avoid

Nelson Asofa-Solomona

$400K

28.6

27

Suspended for round 1 but upside if he returns to the starting line up. Even in a poor season av of 38.3 (3 starts at lock). Keep on the watchlist for a potential cash down later in the year.

Tui Kamikamica

$373K

27.9

27

Doesn't have a big enough role or the PPM to go with it. Avoid

Bronson Garlick

$350K

27.3

24.1

Barely sighted last year. 10 games NSW Cup for a 38.9 average. Avoid

Lazarus Vaalepu

$291K

21.8

22.5

Love this guys style just won't see enough minutes to be relevant. 17 Q Cup games for a 39.4 average. Avoid

Joe Chan

$300K

20.4

19.3

Just can't break through consistently at NRL Level. 7 games of NSW Cup for only a 34.7 average. Avoid

Kane Bradley

TBA

18.3

18.3

Plays a stack of position so his best spot is the interchange bench. 12 Q Cup games for a 35 average. Avoid

Dean Ieremia

$250K

15

15.1

Not much fantasy relevance in his game. 20 games of NSW Cup for a 28.4 average. Avoid

Chris Lewis

TBA

13.8

13.1

Fills in when he has too but just won't see the game time. 12 games of Qcup for a 40.7 average. Avoid

Marion Seve

$250K

4

2.3

Injury plaegued year where he didn't see much footy. 9 Q Cup games for a 37 average. Price will be interesting if bottom dollar could be relevant with an injury. Watchlist

Ativalu Lisati

$350K

51

50.6

Edge backtower who spent his 2024 with the Bears in NSW Cup. 23 games for a 37.2 fantasy average. Would be well behind on the pecking order. Avoid.

Moses Leo

$350K

0

0

NZ Rugby 7's convert with plenty of promise. Watchlist





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